Saturday, September 2, 2023
Wednesday, July 5, 2023
IMF and Pakistan since 1997
JTN Report:
Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have a long and complicated relationship. Pakistan has been a member of the IMF since 1950, and the IMF has provided loans to Pakistan 22 times, most recently in 2023.
The IMF's loans to Pakistan have been controversial, with some people arguing that they have helped to stabilize the country's economy, while others argue that they have come at the expense of the poor and vulnerable.
The IMF's conditions for its loans have often been seen as harsh, and have included measures such as raising taxes, reducing government spending, and devaluing the currency. These measures have often had a negative impact on the poor and vulnerable, and have led to protests and demonstrations.
Despite the controversy, the IMF's loans have been essential to Pakistan's economy on several occasions. In 2019, when Pakistan was facing a balance of payments crisis, the IMF's loan of $1 billion helped to stabilize the country's currency and prevent a default on its debt.
The IMF's relationship with Pakistan is likely to continue to be complex and controversial. The IMF's loans can provide much-needed financial assistance, but they can also come at a high cost. The IMF and Pakistan will need to find a way to work together that is beneficial to both sides.
Here are some of the pros and cons of the IMF's relationship with Pakistan:
Pros:
The IMF's loans have helped to stabilize Pakistan's economy on several occasions.
The IMF's conditions for its loans have often forced the government to make difficult but necessary reforms.
The IMF has provided technical assistance to Pakistan's government on a variety of economic issues.
Cons:
The IMF's conditions for its loans have often been seen as harsh and have had a negative impact on the poor and vulnerable.
The IMF's loans have come at a high cost, and Pakistan has often had to repay more than it borrowed.
The IMF's relationship with Pakistan has been seen as too close, and some people have accused the IMF of interfering in Pakistan's internal affairs.
Overall, the IMF's relationship with Pakistan is a complex one. The IMF's loans have helped to stabilize Pakistan's economy on several occasions, but they have also come at a high cost. The IMF and Pakistan will need to find a way to work together that is beneficial to both sides.
Letest Bailout Package:
On June 30, 2023, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Pakistan reached a staff-level agreement on a $3 billion bailout package. The agreement, which still needs to be approved by the IMF's Executive Board, comes after an eight-month delay.
The agreement includes a number of conditions that Pakistan must meet in order to receive the funds. These conditions include:
Increasing taxes
Reducing energy subsidies
Privatizing state-owned enterprises
Reforming the civil service
Improving the business climate
If Pakistan meets these conditions, it will receive the first installment of the bailout package, which is expected to be around $1.1 billion. The remaining funds will be disbursed in tranches over the course of the agreement.
The bailout package is seen as essential for Pakistan to avoid a default on its debt. The country's foreign exchange reserves are at a critical level, and its economy is facing a number of challenges, including high inflation and a widening current account deficit.
The IMF has been a regular lender to Pakistan over the years. This is the 23rd time that Pakistan has sought IMF assistance. The previous bailout package, which was worth $6.5 billion, expired in June 2023.
The bailout package is a significant development for Pakistan. It will provide the country with much-needed financial assistance, and it will also help to restore investor confidence. However, the conditions attached to the bailout package will be difficult for Pakistan to meet. It remains to be seen whether the country will be able to implement the reforms necessary to secure the full amount of the bailout package.
Pakistan has had a history of seeking financial assistance from the IMF to address its balance of payments issues and stabilize its economy. When a country faces economic challenges and requires financial support, it can approach the IMF for a bailout package. These packages typically involve a set of economic reforms and policy adjustments that the country needs to implement in exchange for the financial assistance provided by the IMF.
The specific stages and conditions of a bailout package can vary depending on the circumstances and negotiations between the country and the IMF. Typically, the process involves the following steps:
Request for assistance:
The country formally requests financial assistance from the IMF, usually due to a balance of payments crisis or an urgent need for external financing.
Negotiations:
After the request is made, representatives from the country and the IMF engage in negotiations to determine the terms and conditions of the bailout package. This includes discussing the economic reforms and policy adjustments that the country must implement to address its economic challenges.
Agreement:
If the negotiations are successful, both parties reach an agreement on the terms and conditions of the bailout package. This agreement is then presented to the IMF's Executive Board for approval.
Implementation:
Once the bailout package is approved, the country begins implementing the agreed-upon reforms and policy adjustments. This may involve measures such as fiscal consolidation, monetary policy changes, structural reforms, and improvements in governance and transparency.
Monitoring and disbursement:
The IMF monitors the country's progress in implementing the reforms and periodically disburses the financial assistance according to agreed-upon milestones or conditions.
What is the International Monity Fund, how does it work and how does it lend?
The IMF is an international organization that provides loans to countries experiencing financial difficulties. It also works to promote economic stability and growth around the world.
The IMF was founded in 1944 at the Bretton Woods Conference. It currently has 190 member countries. The IMF's lending is based on a country's quota, which is determined by its economic size and importance in the global economy. The IMF can lend a country up to 100% of its quota.
To qualify for an IMF loan, a country must agree to a set of economic reforms. These reforms are designed to help the country get back on its feet financially. The IMF monitors the country's progress on these reforms and can withhold further loans if the country is not complying.
The IMF's lending is not free. Countries must pay interest on their loans, and they may also be required to make changes to their economic policies. However, the IMF's loans can be a lifeline for countries that are facing financial difficulties.
Here are some of the ways the IMF works:
Surveillance:
The IMF conducts surveillance of its member countries' economies. This involves monitoring economic conditions and assessing the risks to financial stability. The IMF also provides policy advice to member countries.
Lending:
The IMF provides loans to member countries that are experiencing financial difficulties. These loans are typically used to stabilize the economy and implement economic reforms.
Capacity development:
The IMF provides technical assistance and training to member countries to help them strengthen their economic institutions and statistics.
Research:
The IMF conducts research on a wide range of economic topics. This research is used to inform the IMF's surveillance, lending, and capacity development activities.
The IMF is an important part of the global financial system. It helps to promote financial stability and economic growth around the world.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Pakistan & IMF
(Jtndikhan Report)
Postponement of 6 billion Dollars Extended Fund Facility (EFF) for Pakistan by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a few months on the grounds that its staff is not satisfied with the implementation of the loan terms, where the country's economy The government and the opposition have been blaming each other there and this has led to further escalation of political tensions. Representatives of Pakistan and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) were reviewing the lower-level agreement on the IMF loan for the sixth time, failing to reach a consensus, so further discussions on the issue were adjourned until September.
Top government sources have confirmed that the IMF board was due to approve the sixth review by July this year, but as disagreements did not abate, it was decided to postpone the review until September. When asked in writing about this, the Resident Chief of the IMF in Pakistan said that we have achieved sustainable development and stability through the implementation of policies, structural reforms and increase in social spending under the EFF program. We are ready to continue helping Pakistan to get loans for this purpose.
According to observers, his response indicated that since the sixth review under the EFF could not be completed, the IMF has decided to adopt a "watch and wait" policy to find out. How much the government can 'deliver' on its announced budget for 2021-22. The opposition camp has drawn its conclusions after the meeting of Pakistan and IMF representatives was inconclusive.
Former Finance Minister Muftah Ismail has claimed in a press conference that the IMF has withheld funds from Pakistan and the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank have also stopped lending. He said that the government was trying to persuade the IMF through the United States which would not be good for the nation. He was referring to strategic issues between Pakistan and the United States. He stressed that strategic issues should not be included in economic affairs. Rejecting the former finance minister's statement, the finance ministry spokesman said in a statement that the IMF's program was intact and that its new mission was expected to arrive in Pakistan in August to review its performance throughout the year.
The spokesperson also said that Pakistan has achieved all the targets of the IMF by March which is the best performance. The World Bank has not stopped lending either. It has already approved a large loan. Regardless of the political rhetoric of the government and the opposition, there is no doubt that the government is taking all necessary steps for economic recovery in line with the vision of Prime Minister Imran Khan.
This includes obtaining foreign loans, but it should be noted that friendly countries or international institutions do not provide unconditional loans. They definitely get something in return. The IMF is a powerful institution under the influence of the United States. He is notorious for imposing arbitrary conditions to keep developing countries like Pakistan in his sphere of influence. The government should try not to accept any of its conditions contrary to the national interest and give priority to the national interest while meeting its requirements for economic reforms.
